Moon phase
Live
Conway lunar approximation
7-day outlook
Thu11/5
Todaygood🌧️
- Rain
- 0.05″
- Last rain
- none in 5d
- E. coli
- 200
- River stage
- 3.73 ft
- Turbidity
- 12.5 FNU
- Moon
- 🌘
Dam Releasepeak 6p · 62 MW
12a6a12p6p12a
Fri11/6
fair☁️
- Rain
- 0.00″
- Last rain
- 11/5 · 0.05″
- E. coli
- 200
- River stage
- 3.73 ft
- Turbidity
- 12.5 FNU
- Moon
- 🌘
Dam Release · last Fripeak 4p · 62 MW
12a6a12p6p12a
Sat11/7
poor☁️
- Rain
- 0.00″
- Last rain
- 11/5 · 0.05″
- E. coli
- 200
- River stage
- 3.73 ft
- Turbidity
- 12.5 FNU
- Moon
- 🌘
Dam Release · last Satpeak 12p · 43 MW
12a6a12p6p12a
Sun11/8
good☀️
- Rain
- 0.00″
- Last rain
- 11/5 · 0.05″
- E. coli
- 200
- River stage
- 3.73 ft
- Turbidity
- 12.5 FNU
- Moon
- 🌑
Dam Release · last Sunpeak 6p · 62 MW
12a6a12p6p12a
Mon11/9
good☀️
- Rain
- 0.00″
- Last rain
- 11/5 · 0.05″
- E. coli
- 200
- River stage
- 3.73 ft
- Turbidity
- 12.5 FNU
- Moon
- 🌑
Dam Release · last Monpeak 6p · 62 MW
12a6a12p6p12a
Tue11/10
good☀️
- Rain
- 0.00″
- Last rain
- 11/5 · 0.05″
- E. coli
- 200
- River stage
- 3.73 ft
- Turbidity
- 12.5 FNU
- Moon
- 🌑
Dam Release · last Tuepeak 2p · 62 MW
12a6a12p6p12a
Wed11/11
good☀️
- Rain
- 0.00″
- Last rain
- 11/5 · 0.05″
- E. coli
- 200
- River stage
- 3.73 ft
- Turbidity
- 12.5 FNU
- Moon
- 🌑
Dam Release · last Wedpeak 3p · 120 MW
12a6a12p6p12a
Today's factors
Rain window
goodOnly trace rain in the past 2 days (0.00″). Good clarity.
Dam release
primeOutflow 613 cfs (0.6k) — prime wadeable flow.
Release timing
goodSpike falls outside 2am–2pm — peak 62 MW at 6pm (scheduled). River should settle by morning.
Water clarity (Medlock Bridge)
poorE. coli: spiking. 200 cfu/100ml — rising sharply (14d range 58.0–200). Turbidity: spiking. 12.5 FNU — rising sharply (14d range 2.4–14.3).
River stage
goodSlightly elevated. Stage 3.73 ft (rising sharply, 14d median 2.30 ft).
Moon phase
fairMid-cycle moon — average influence on feeding.
Past week
ML model v120 · trained on 153 samples · R² 0.77
Blended 60% into forecast
Calibration · 3 logged trips: agreed on 3, over-rated 0, under-rated 0.
Forecasts tuned 3 pts lower (was over-rating)
| Date | Rating | Your call | Score | Rain 2d (in) | Peak MW | Peak hr | E. coli | Weather | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 5 | good | — | 65 | 0.00 | 62 | 6p | 200 | Rain | actual |
| Wed, Nov 4 | fair | — | 62 | 0.50 | 120 | 3p | 200 | Rain | actual |
| Tue, Nov 3 | good | — | 70 | 1.13 | 62 | 2p | 77 | Rain | actual |
| Mon, Nov 2 | good | — | 70 | 2.13 | 62 | 6p | — | Overcast | actual |
| Sun, Nov 1 | good | — | 71 | 0.00 | 42 | 1a | 74 | Rain | actual |
| Sat, Oct 31 | poor | — | 54 | 0.15 | 43 | 12p | 100 | Overcast | actual |
| Fri, Oct 30 | fair | — | 61 | 0.04 | 62 | 4p | 89 | Overcast | actual |